TELLING: Polymarket bets favor Eisenkot over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election

Gadi Eisenkot was the favorite to become Israel’s next prime minister on the prediction market Polymarket on Monday, as traders weighed the possible outcome of the October 27 election.

The online trading platform’s market gave Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party, a roughly 49% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, compared with 31% for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and 16% for former prime minister Naftali Bennett.

The market had recorded approximately $46 million in trading volume, according to Polymarket’s figures.

Polymarket is a prediction market platform that lets users trade shares tied to the outcomes of real-world events, including wars and elections.

Millions of dollars circulating through online bets on Israel’s election

A separate market asking when Netanyahu would leave office recorded more than $124.5 million in trading volume, making it one of the platform’s largest Israel-related markets. Traders placed a roughly 38% probability on Netanyahu leaving office by December 31, 2026.

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https://www.jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-912111

 

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