{"id":85382,"date":"2026-10-28T07:35:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T11:35:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=85382"},"modified":"2026-10-28T07:35:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T11:35:39","slug":"telling-polymarket-bets-favor-eisenkot-over-netanyahu-ahead-of-israeli-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=85382","title":{"rendered":"TELLING: Polymarket bets favor Eisenkot over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more--><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Screenshot-2026-10-28-at-7.35.23-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"504\" height=\"281\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-85383\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Screenshot-2026-10-28-at-7.35.23-AM.png 504w, https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Screenshot-2026-10-28-at-7.35.23-AM-300x167.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 504px) 100vw, 504px\" \/><\/p>\n<section id=\"section-0\" class=\"article-default-section article-body-paragraph\">Gadi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-election-2026\/article-912110\">Eisenkot<\/a> was the favorite to become Israel\u2019s next prime minister on the prediction market Polymarket on Monday, as traders weighed the possible outcome of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-election-2026\/article-912004\">October 27 election<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"section-1\" class=\"article-default-section article-body-paragraph\">The online trading platform\u2019s market gave Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party, a roughly 49% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, compared with 31% for Prime Minister <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-election-2026\/article-912075\">Benjamin Netanyahu<\/a> and 16% for former prime minister Naftali Bennett.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"section-MB_7\" class=\"article-outbrain-section article-body-paragraph\"><\/section>\n<section id=\"section-3\" class=\"article-paragraph-wrap\">\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The market had recorded approximately $46 million in trading volume, according to Polymarket\u2019s figures.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<aside class=\"advertisement-container \">\n<div class=\"\" data-aaad=\"true\" data-aa-adunit=\"\/6943\/JPost_2025\/Articles_300x250_4_DK\"><\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<section id=\"section-5\" class=\"article-paragraph-wrap\">\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Polymarket is a prediction market platform that lets users trade shares tied to the outcomes of real-world events, including wars and elections.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<h3 id=\"section-7\" class=\"article-header-section article-body-paragraph injected\"><strong>Millions of dollars circulating through online bets on Israel&#8217;s election<\/strong><\/h3>\n<section id=\"section-8\" class=\"article-paragraph-wrap\">\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">A separate market asking when Netanyahu would leave office recorded more than $124.5 million in trading volume, making it one of the platform\u2019s largest Israel-related markets. Traders placed a roughly 38% probability on Netanyahu leaving office by December 31, 2026.<\/p>\n<p>____<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-election-2026\/article-912111\">https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-election-2026\/article-912111<\/a><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-85382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=85382"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85382\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":85384,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85382\/revisions\/85384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=85382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=85382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=85382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}