{"id":81208,"date":"2026-09-21T10:47:34","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T14:47:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=81208"},"modified":"2026-09-21T11:36:36","modified_gmt":"2026-09-21T15:36:36","slug":"81208","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=81208","title":{"rendered":"

PICKAXE MOUNTAIN PSYOP: Today’s Global Geopolitical Chessboard is rapidly evolving toward…..<\/span><\/b><\/h1>"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

…a predetermined outcome just like
\nWorld War I and II were fastidiously engineered by the Khazarian Cabal.<\/strong><\/h1>\n
\n

SOTN<\/a> Editor’s Note: If the following complex analysis shows anything, it’s that The Powers That Be<\/em> at the very peak of the pinnacle of the world power pyramid are quite stealthily manipulating every major military power and victimized nation on Earth into a full-blown World War 3 scenario.<\/p>\n

What is especially clear is that so many of the top world leaders, as well as not-so-top officials, were all carefully installed into their respective positions of power to ensure compliance with starting and fighting throughout the duration of an apocalyptic global conflict (just as the devastating Ukraine War has been marshaled along for over 4.5 years).<\/p>\n

Regarding the following Iran War commentary, if nothing else it indicates just how insane things have gotten when the POTUS repeatedly threatens a sovereign nation with a nuclear attack in order to explicitly prevent them from developing a nuclear weapon. Wow! Just WOW!!!<\/p>\n

\n

KEY POINT:<\/strong> You knew that this whole thing was a fake and gay Zionist psyop when the CIA’s Mockingbird Media<\/em> began running one story after another about “Pickaxe Mountain<\/strong>“; it’s not only way to similar to “Brokeback Mountain”<\/strong>, it’s also an English name that makes no sense except as a predictive programming trigger.<\/p>\n

\n

State of the Nation<\/a>
\nSeptember 21, 2026<\/p>\n

\n

THE MOUNTAIN FIRST, THEN THE CAPITAL<\/h1>\n

by Mark A. Shryock<\/p>\n

For several days now I have had a feeling I cannot shake, and I have learned over a long career to pay attention to the ones that will not leave. It is a sense that the United States is preparing a tactical nuclear strike on Iran. I have posted about it three times. Each time I hoped writing it down would kill it. It did not. It got stronger.<\/p>\n

I am putting this all on the table because I want you to see what I am seeing in the patterns and analytics, and I want you to see me wrestling with it. This is not a hard conclusion I arrived at easily; it is a nightmare I have tried to disprove with every metric I can find. I have argued against my own notes. But every time I follow the military geometry to its edge and watch the conventional doors slam shut, this is what is sitting in the room.<\/p>\n

THE MAGAZINES ARE DRY AND TAIWAN IS TRADED<\/p>\n

The logic begins not with political rhetoric, but with the brutal reality of warehouse inventory.<\/p>\n

An analysis by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, published July 27, found that the ongoing war in Iran has produced critical strategic inventory shortfalls. We have burned through our precision munitions. CSIS estimates that Patriot interceptor inventories are now under 1,000, while its detailed estimates put the remaining stockpile in the range of roughly 759 to 827. CNN reported on August 4, citing two unnamed sources, that nearly 80 percent of the military\u2019s THAAD interceptors had been expended, and Pete Hegseth publicly called that report untrue. CSIS\u2019s own estimate is roughly 234 to 278 THAAD interceptors remaining from an initial stockpile of about 452, which is a drop of roughly 38 to 48 percent.<\/p>\n

CBS News reported on August 4, citing two sources with direct knowledge, that the Army has used virtually all of its ATACMS and Precision Strike Missiles. The defense industrial base has severe bottlenecks, and the reporting says the United States cannot replenish some of these systems at the rate at which they have been expended. CSIS has explicitly warned that the depleted inventories create a near-to-medium-term risk to U.S. readiness for a war against China in the western Pacific.<\/p>\n

I am going to say this plainly: I believe Taiwan is being traded.<\/p>\n

You cannot empty the Pacific magazines into Iran and deter China in the same year without creating a strategic choice somewhere else. The people making these decisions can count. I believe the decision has already been made to accept the risk of Taiwan falling if this war is escalated to its final stage. The minute we escalate this to its final stage, China could immediately see an opening to attack Taiwan, and we could lose it. Washington knows the risk exists, and I believe they have priced it in.<\/p>\n

That last paragraph is my analysis, not something CSIS has documented as a decision by Washington. What CSIS has documented is the underlying problem: expended munitions are already creating a readiness risk for a future conflict with China.<\/p>\n

EUROPE HAS RUN OUT OF ROOM<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the economic clock has run out.<\/p>\n

On September 20, Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf told lawmakers that there would be no return to previous negotiations or reopening of the Strait of Hormuz until Iran\u2019s conditions were met and U.S. commitments were implemented. He also said Iran must both fight and negotiate, using military pressure first and diplomacy to consolidate battlefield gains when the time is right. The path is not simply \u201cclosed\u201d in the sense that diplomacy has been abandoned; Ghalibaf\u2019s own statement makes clear that Tehran still describes negotiation as part of the strategy.<\/p>\n

And Europe is staring down the barrel of winter.<\/p>\n

The European Commission\u2019s own downside scenario modeling, published as part of its Spring 2026 Economic Forecast, projects crude oil peaking near $180 a barrel and European gas near 80 euros per megawatt hour in late 2026 under a prolonged and severe disruption of energy markets. The scenario assumes that trade through the Strait of Hormuz resumes only gradually and remains severely restricted, with the resulting supply shock continuing into 2027. The Commission\u2019s model also projects substantially weaker EU growth and higher inflation under that scenario.<\/p>\n

They are looking at a winter of rationed energy, crippling energy costs, and serious economic damage if the worst-case scenario becomes reality.<\/p>\n

Here is what I believe: Europe has secretly signed off on this strike.<\/p>\n

They will always deny it. They will condemn it publicly if it happens. But behind closed doors, they are completely backed against the wall. They are desperate for a resolution at any cost, because if this stretches on for six more months, Europe breaks.<\/p>\n

That is my reading of the political and economic pressure. I do not have evidence of a secret European agreement to support a U.S. nuclear strike, and I am not presenting that sentence as a documented fact. I am saying that the economic pressure gives European governments a powerful reason to want the conflict ended, whatever the diplomatic language used in public.<\/p>\n

The European Commission itself has warned that prolonged disruption could produce severe energy and macroeconomic consequences, while separately emphasizing that the scenario is a downside scenario rather than its central forecast.<\/p>\n

SAUDI ARABIA AND THE FIRESTORM DEBATE<\/p>\n

Backed against that wall is where my internal debate turns acute.<\/p>\n

The Houthis, estimated by the UN Panel of Experts, and cited by the Congressional Research Service, at up to 350,000 fighters, fired a ballistic missile toward Riyadh this week; the Saudi-led coalition said the missile was intercepted and destroyed. The Houthis claimed attacks on sensitive sites in the capital. Reuters reported that Saudi authorities issued danger alerts around Riyadh and that the coalition said it had intercepted the missile, while the Houthis also claimed an attack on an Aramco facility at Yanbu.<\/p>\n

They targeted Yanbu, the terminal where the East-West pipeline ends, one of the major bypass routes available to Saudi Arabia while the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted.<\/p>\n

On September 8, Houthi attacks on southern Saudi Arabia struck civilian and economic sites and disrupted energy facilities. Saudi authorities reported that 73 people were injured. The attacks also caused fires and temporary interruptions at energy facilities.<\/p>\n

An Associated Press report published September 16, citing two regional officials who were not named, reported that Saudi Arabia was running low on missile interceptors and had asked France, Britain, Pakistan, and Egypt for additional air-defense support.<\/p>\n

When I look at this board, I keep seeing the absolute destruction of Tehran.<\/p>\n

For days, that vision led me to lean toward a conventional carpet-bombing scenario. I wrestled with the idea that Washington would launch a massive saturation campaign that just gets out of control, turning into a massive urban firestorm like Tokyo or Dresden in World War II.<\/p>\n

But every time I game that out, conventional carpet bombing goes right out the window. It comes down to simple logistics and the retaliation window.<\/p>\n

A conventional campaign capable of producing that kind of destruction would not necessarily be instantaneous. It would be telegraphed, incremental, and potentially slow compared with a single catastrophic strike. If we spend weeks dropping conventional gravity bombs on Iran, we hand them a massive, open window to respond. Iran is quite capable of inflicting catastrophic damage across the region before its conventional military is destroyed. In that retaliation window, the IRGC and the Houthis could pour missiles and drones into Saudi Arabia and the Gulf.<\/p>\n

Unless we stop the Iranian military and leadership\u2019s ability to retaliate immediately, we cannot protect the Saudis from the full consequences of that retaliation. If Saudi Arabia falls, the global economic consequences would be enormous. Washington cannot simply allow Iran to respond without considering what happens to Saudi Arabia and the remaining energy infrastructure.<\/p>\n

They are going to try to make that stop with the first strike.<\/p>\n

You do not achieve that with a month of tit-for-tat bombing; you achieve it, if that is the objective, by trying to paralyze the enemy\u2019s command and military nervous system instantly.<\/p>\n

That is the logic I see.<\/p>\n

It is not proof that Washington has chosen that path.<\/p>\n

It is the logic that makes the nuclear possibility impossible for me to dismiss.<\/p>\n

THE MOUNTAIN IS THE PRETEXT<\/p>\n

This is why the narrative around Pickaxe Mountain is so elaborate.<\/p>\n

On September 18, retired General Joseph Votel, former commander of CENTCOM, went on Fox News to discuss new activity at Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La, buried deep beneath a mountain south of Natanz, and the possibility that the facility could be associated with advanced nuclear work.<\/p>\n

That same weekend, on The Big Weekend Show aired September 20, Congressman Tim Burchett said the Iranians \u201cwere getting ready to launch Armageddon, from what I understand.\u201d<\/p>\n

The President himself said on the Hugh Hewitt Show on July 13, \u201cWe\u2019re going to take out Pickaxe Mountain. Tell the Iranians to be ready.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s statement is documented. So is the continuing U.S. focus on the site.<\/p>\n

Here is what the technical record actually shows.<\/p>\n

The Institute for Science and International Security has conducted extensive satellite-imagery analysis of Iranian nuclear infrastructure. Its September 17 imagery update, based on September 11 imagery, says the facility does not appear to be currently used for normal operations, while cautioning that valuable equipment and\/or materials may remain inside. ISIS also documented extensive defensive measures blocking access to the tunnel entrances.<\/p>\n

There is therefore an important distinction.<\/p>\n

There are public claims that Iran may have moved nuclear equipment or centrifuges into Pickaxe Mountain. There is also evidence of continuing construction, defensive measures, and the strategic value of the site.<\/p>\n

But the latest imagery does not establish that Pickaxe Mountain is currently operating as an active enrichment facility.<\/p>\n

That distinction matters.<\/p>\n

The near-emptiness is the entire point of my argument.<\/p>\n

A conventional strike needs no excuse; nobody in Congress asks why we drop conventional bombs anymore. A narrative built around an imminent nuclear threat, however, can provide the political justification for escalating into a completely different class of warfare.<\/p>\n

Pickaxe Mountain is not, in my reading, the strategic target.<\/p>\n

It is the excuse.<\/p>\n

It is the clean, deeply buried, apparently inactive military site that could be used to frame a strike as an emergency response to an alleged nuclear threat.<\/p>\n

And if the purpose were to break the nuclear taboo, a deeply buried site with disputed nuclear activity would provide a very different political justification from deliberately using a nuclear weapon against a city.<\/p>\n

That is my interpretation of the pattern. It is not something the public record establishes as a decision already made inside Washington.<\/p>\n

THE LADDER TO THE CAPITAL<\/p>\n

Here is the sequence I am seeing in the analytics.<\/p>\n

The mountain is struck first.<\/p>\n

The taboo is shattered.<\/p>\n

The demand is delivered publicly: open the strait, come to the table.<\/p>\n

If they do not, a city gets named.<\/p>\n

The seat of the leadership is in the bunkers under Tehran. Geography makes a rapid strike against command infrastructure possible from U.S. bases and forces already operating in the region.<\/p>\n

If the mountain and the command are hit in the exact same darkness, it means, in the scenario I am describing, that the decision has already been made that there is no table.<\/p>\n

Coercion requires leaving someone alive on the other end of the telephone to surrender.<\/p>\n

Hitting the leadership on night one means something different.<\/p>\n

It means an attempt at absolute removal.<\/p>\n

It means a capital severely damaged, and a massive loss of life.<\/p>\n

I am not saying this is what will happen.<\/p>\n

I am saying this is the ladder I see when I put the military inventory, the Gulf defenses, Hormuz, the nuclear narrative, and the stated threat against Pickaxe Mountain on the same board.<\/p>\n

THE OFF-RAMP AND THE EGO<\/p>\n

The only way to stop this is the one thing the men in power will never do.<\/p>\n

Since September 18, Iranian officials have publicly described conditions for reopening the Strait and returning to negotiations. On September 20, Ghalibaf said the Strait would remain closed until Iran\u2019s conditions were met and U.S. commitments were implemented. Iranian officials have also conveyed conditions through intermediaries, including an end to the war, release of frozen funds, and an end to the U.S. naval blockade.<\/p>\n

At the same time, Iranian officials have made clear that Tehran is not describing diplomacy as an alternative to military action. Ghalibaf explicitly said Iran must both fight and negotiate, using battlefield pressure to strengthen its position before diplomacy consolidates those gains.<\/p>\n

The political demand that Trump and Netanyahu leave power is an entirely different matter. That is not a normal diplomatic off-ramp available to Washington or Jerusalem.<\/p>\n

And this is where my concern becomes most extreme.<\/p>\n

I do not think the danger comes only from rational calculations of military cost and benefit. I think we are in a room where rage, image, humiliation, political survival, and a desperate lack of time can all become part of the decision.<\/p>\n

That does not prove that a nuclear strike is coming.<\/p>\n

But it makes me unwilling to dismiss the possibility simply because the conventional logic looks insane.<\/p>\n

I know the counter-arguments.<\/p>\n

The site is not confirmed to be active, which guts the justification. A nuclear strike would represent an extraordinary escalation with enormous political, military, and humanitarian consequences.<\/p>\n

Those arguments are real.<\/p>\n

But they assume the people in the room are weighing outcomes against costs normally.<\/p>\n

I believe we are in a room driven by rage, image, and a desperate lack of time, where the people who would normally stand in the way are the ones who watched the magazines drain below 850 interceptors and did nothing.<\/p>\n

The inventory numbers are not imaginary. The depletion is documented. The readiness problem is documented. The pressure on Saudi air defenses is documented. The economic consequences of prolonged Hormuz disruption are documented. Trump\u2019s threat against Pickaxe Mountain is documented.<\/p>\n

What is not documented is the final step.<\/p>\n

That is the step I am trying to understand.<\/p>\n

There is no satisfaction in tracing this sequence.<\/p>\n

Nothing would bring greater relief than watching diplomacy find an off-ramp, seeing the strait reopen, and having this entire analysis proven completely unnecessary.<\/p>\n

But looking down this barrel, the tragedy is that millions of innocent people across Tehran and the region, who have no say in the pride of these leaders, are the ones lined up to bear the cost.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

AUTHOR\u2019S NOTE: WHAT IF THERE IS NO CORNER<\/p>\n

Everything in \u201cThe Mountain First, Then the Capital\u201d rests on one premise: that the people making these decisions are cornered, and that a cornered actor with no good conventional option might reach for the worst one.<\/p>\n

I want to put the opposite question on the table, because I think it deserves to be asked. What if there is no corner at all. What if the depleted stockpiles, the closed strait, the exposed Saudi cities, and the frozen diplomacy are not a trap Washington and its allies are caught in, but a position they built and intend to stay in. A prolonged crisis can be profitable to the people who control the contracts, the energy markets, and the flow of information about it, in ways a quick resolution is not.<\/p>\n

If that is closer to the truth, then my own forecast in that piece is wrong. There is no strike coming to end this. There is no ladder to a decisive night. Instead the war drags on, month after month, past the point any military logic would justify, because ending it ends the profit. It only stops when the people running it are removed from power.<\/p>\n

I do not have evidence for that mechanism. I cannot name a specific trade, a specific dealing, or a specific beneficiary, and I am not going to pretend that I can. What I can say is that the alternative, a war and a standoff that serve the people prolonging them, fits the same facts I laid out in that piece at least as well as the cornered-actor reading does. I think that is worth sitting with, even though I cannot prove it, and even though it means the rest of that piece could be the wrong forecast.<\/p>\n

Copyright \u00a9 Mark A. Shryock. May be shared with attribution.<\/p>\n

SOURCES & DOCUMENTATION<\/p>\n

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS): \u201cRenewed Iran War Would Test Diminished Interceptor Inventories,\u201d by Mark Cancian and Chris Park, July 27, 2026. CSIS reports that Patriot inventories are below 1,000 and THAAD inventories are around 250, and warns that depleted stockpiles create a near-to-medium-term risk to U.S. readiness for a potential war against China in the western Pacific. CSIS\u2019s detailed inventory estimates put remaining Patriot interceptors at roughly 759 to 827 and THAAD at roughly 234 to 278.<\/p>\n

CNN Politics: \u201cNearly 80% of interceptors for a key missile defense system depleted, sources say,\u201d August 4, 2026. CNN reported, citing two sources familiar with the latest inventory report, that the U.S. military had used nearly four-fifths of its THAAD interceptors and roughly half of its Patriot interceptors since the start of the war, and that senior commanders were warning the stockpile was \u201cdangerously low.\u201d Pete Hegseth publicly rejected the report, and the Pentagon has not released official inventory figures. The CSIS estimate above implies a THAAD drop of roughly 38 to 48 percent.<\/p>\n

CBS News: \u201cU.S. has used nearly all its stockpile of long-range missiles in Iran war, sources say,\u201d August 4, 2026. CBS reported that the United States had used virtually all of its ATACMS and Precision Strike Missiles, based on sources with direct knowledge, and reported that limited inventories and replenishment rates had become a pressure point.<\/p>\n

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Iranian Parliament: statement to lawmakers, September 20, 2026. Ghalibaf said there would be no return to previous negotiations or reopening of the Strait of Hormuz until Iran\u2019s conditions were met and U.S. commitments were implemented. He also stated that Iran must both fight and negotiate, with diplomacy used to consolidate battlefield gains.<\/p>\n

European Commission, Joint Research Centre: \u201cHow a prolonged Middle East crisis would impact energy prices and the EU economy,\u201d May 27, 2026. The Commission\u2019s downside scenario models oil prices peaking around $180 per barrel and European gas prices around \u20ac80\/MWh in late 2026 under prolonged energy disruption and severely restricted Hormuz traffic. The Commission explicitly identifies this as a downside scenario rather than a central forecast.<\/p>\n

European Commission, Spring 2026 Economic Forecast, Scenario Analysis: The Commission\u2019s model assumes trade through the Strait of Hormuz resumes only gradually from September 2026 and remains severely restricted through the end of 2026, with prices easing gradually over 2027, and projects substantially weaker EU growth and higher inflation under the severe-disruption scenario.<\/p>\n

Reuters: September 19, 2026 reporting on Houthi attacks toward Riyadh and Yanbu. Reuters reported that the Saudi-led coalition said it intercepted a missile fired toward Riyadh, while the Houthis claimed attacks on sensitive sites in the capital and an Aramco facility in Yanbu.<\/p>\n

Associated Press: September 8, 2026 reporting on Houthi attacks against southern Saudi Arabia. AP reported that 73 people were injured and that attacks caused fires and temporary interruptions at Saudi energy facilities.<\/p>\n

Associated Press: September 16-17, 2026, \u201cShort of missile interceptors, Saudis seek help from allies, officials say.\u201d The report documented Saudi requests for additional air-defense support from France, Britain, Pakistan, and Egypt.<\/p>\n

UN Panel of Experts on Yemen: the panel\u2019s 2024 report, as described by VOA on November 3, 2024, estimated Houthi fighters at 350,000, up from 220,000 in 2022 and 30,000 in 2015. A Reuters explainer of September 17, 2026 repeats the 350,000 figure as the panel\u2019s assessment. Congressional Research Service, \u201cYemen: In Brief,\u201d May 12, 2026: states that Yemeni government officials estimated in 2024 that Houthi forces may have numbered as many as 350,000 fighters. That number is an estimate rather than a current independently verified headcount.<\/p>\n

Fox News, America Reports: Interview with retired Gen. Joseph Votel, former CENTCOM commander, September 18, 2026, concerning activity and possible nuclear-related work at Pickaxe Mountain.<\/p>\n

Fox News, The Big Weekend Show: Rep. Tim Burchett, September 20, 2026. Burchett said, \u201cThe Iranians were close to nuclear; they were getting ready to launch Armageddon, from what I understand.\u201d His statement was framed as his understanding rather than as publicly documented evidence.<\/p>\n

The Hugh Hewitt Show: Presidential interview, July 13, 2026. Trump said, \u201cWe\u2019re going to take out Pickaxe Mountain. Tell the Iranians to be ready.\u201d<\/p>\n

Institute for Science and International Security: \u201cImagery Update: Passive Defenses Identified at Natanz and Pickaxe Mountain,\u201d September 17, 2026. The report analyzes September 11 satellite imagery and concludes that the facility does not appear to be currently used for normal operations while noting that valuable equipment and\/or materials may remain inside.<\/p>\n

Institute for Science and International Security: \u201cImagery Update: Iran Limits Access to Tunnel Entrances at Pickaxe Mountain,\u201d September 14, 2026. The report documents defensive roadblocks and restricted access to the tunnel entrances.<\/p>\n

The technical record therefore does not establish that Pickaxe Mountain is currently an operating enrichment facility or that enriched uranium is presently being processed there. Claims about nuclear equipment, centrifuges, or future use remain matters of intelligence assessment and interpretation.<\/p>\n

SBS News: September 20, 2026, reporting on Ghalibaf\u2019s statement that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed unless Iran\u2019s conditions were met.<\/p>\n

The National: September 20, 2026, reporting on Ghalibaf\u2019s statements about the balance between military resistance and diplomacy and the internal debate over how Iran should pursue the war.<\/p>\n

Al Jazeera: September 20, 2026, reporting that Iran had conveyed conditions for resuming negotiations through Qatari mediators and that Ghalibaf said Iran must push its adversary back militarily before negotiations.<\/p>\n

Gulf News: September 20, 2026, reporting on Iran\u2019s seven conditions and the public elements of those demands, including ending the war, releasing frozen assets, and ending the U.S. naval blockade.<\/p>\n

The distinction matters: Iranian officials are publicly describing both continued military pressure and a possible diplomatic pathway. The article\u2019s argument about the disappearance of an off-ramp is therefore an interpretation of the political situation, not a claim that Iran has formally rejected diplomacy.<\/p>\n

____
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