{"id":38752,"date":"2025-10-29T11:35:59","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T15:35:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=38752"},"modified":"2025-10-29T11:36:19","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T15:36:19","slug":"trump-the-peacemaker-is-really-all-about-these-things-everything-else-is-hokum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=38752","title":{"rendered":"<h2><b>Trump the fake &#8216;peacemaker&#8217; is really all about these things; everything else is hokum.<\/b><\/h2>"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"article__heading\">Dmitry Trenin: This is what Trump\u2019s diplomacy is all about<\/h1>\n<h3 class=\"article__summary summary \">America\u2019s peacemaker cannot act without permission<\/h3>\n<div id=\"blog-autor\" class=\"Blog-author Blog-author__root\">\n<div class=\"Blog-author__description\">\n<div class=\"Blog-author__text\">\n<p><em>By\u00a0<strong>Dmitry Trenin<\/strong>,\u00a0a research professor at the Higher School of Economics and a lead research fellow at the Institute of World Economy and International Relations. He is also a member of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC).<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__cover article__cover-left\">\n<div class=\"media \"><picture><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"media__item lazyautosizes lazyloaded alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/690112ca85f5402c6a6db4b9.jpg\" sizes=\"594px\" alt=\"Dmitry Trenin: This is what Trump\u2019s diplomacy is all about\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/690112ca85f5402c6a6db4b9.jpg\" \/><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"media__footer media__footer_bottom \">\n<h5 class=\"media__title media__title_arcticle\"><span data-role=\"title\">US President Donald Trump.<br \/>\n<\/span><span data-role=\"copyright-symbol\">\u00a9\u00a0<\/span><span data-role=\"copyright\">\u00a0Brandon Bell\/Getty Images<\/span><\/h5>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__text text \">\n<p>Over the past year, Russian analysts have effectively become Trumpologists. Every statement from the US president, often several a day, is dissected and debated in real time. Since Donald Trump\u2019s remarks frequently contradict one another, following his train of thought can feel like a virtual roller coaster ride \u2013 dizzying, unpredictable\u00a0\u2013\u00a0yet impossible to ignore.<\/p>\n<p>But one should not get carried away by the spectacle. Trump\u2019s tactics are straightforward. He can be abrasive and threatening one moment, charming and conciliatory the next. At times he presents himself as\u00a0<em>\u201cone of us,\u201d<\/em>\u00a0at others as\u00a0<em>\u201cone of them.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0The real question is whether there is a coherent strategy behind this chaos. Nine months into his second term, there is enough evidence to draw some cautious conclusions.<\/p>\n<p>First, Trump\u2019s ultimate goal is personal glory. He wants to go down as the greatest president in US history \u2013 the man who restored America\u2019s dominance and reshaped global politics. His strategic vision begins and ends with his own legacy.<\/p>\n<p>Second, he is determined to suppress America\u2019s economic rivals. In this, his policies are blunt but consistent: tariffs, trade wars, and the repatriation of production to US soil. For Trump, global competition is not about mutual gain but national survival.<\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more large read-more__right\" data-has-alias=\"\">\n<p><a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/627019-fyodor-lukyanov-road-to-peace\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><picture><source srcset=\" https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/68ff875820302711e339c645.jpg 560w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xs\/68ff875820302711e339c646.jpg 640w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/thumbnail\/68ff875720302711e339c644.jpg 920w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/m\/68ff875920302711e339c647.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/l\/68ff875a20302711e339c648.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/article\/68ff875520302711e339c643.jpg 1960w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxl\/68ff875b20302711e339c649.jpg 2480w \" media=\"(-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)\" sizes=\"330px\" data-srcset=\" https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/68ff875820302711e339c645.jpg 560w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xs\/68ff875820302711e339c646.jpg 640w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/thumbnail\/68ff875720302711e339c644.jpg 920w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/m\/68ff875920302711e339c647.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/l\/68ff875a20302711e339c648.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/article\/68ff875520302711e339c643.jpg 1960w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxl\/68ff875b20302711e339c649.jpg 2480w \" \/><source srcset=\" https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/68ff875820302711e339c645.jpg 280w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xs\/68ff875820302711e339c646.jpg 320w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/thumbnail\/68ff875720302711e339c644.jpg 460w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/m\/68ff875920302711e339c647.jpg 540w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/l\/68ff875a20302711e339c648.jpg 768w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/article\/68ff875520302711e339c643.jpg 980w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxl\/68ff875b20302711e339c649.jpg 1240w \" sizes=\"330px\" data-srcset=\" https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/68ff875820302711e339c645.jpg 280w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xs\/68ff875820302711e339c646.jpg 320w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/thumbnail\/68ff875720302711e339c644.jpg 460w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/m\/68ff875920302711e339c647.jpg 540w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/l\/68ff875a20302711e339c648.jpg 768w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/article\/68ff875520302711e339c643.jpg 980w, https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxl\/68ff875b20302711e339c649.jpg 1240w \" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"read-more__cover lazyautosizes lazyloaded\" src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/68ff875820302711e339c645.jpg\" sizes=\"330px\" alt=\"Fyodor Lukyanov: Moscow won\u2019t accept peace without rewriting the post-1991 order\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2025.10\/xxs\/68ff875820302711e339c645.jpg\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more__text\">\n<div class=\"read-more__title\">Read more<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"read-more__footer\">Fyodor Lukyanov: Moscow won\u2019t accept peace without rewriting the post-1991 order<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Third, and most relevant for Russia, Trump wants to be seen as a global peacemaker. But in his vocabulary,\u00a0<em>\u201cpeace\u201d<\/em>\u00a0really means truce. He is not interested in complex negotiations or long-term settlements. His aim is to get all sides into one room, stage a handshake, declare victory, and move on. Once the cameras are gone, the details, and the responsibility, are left to others. Should conflict resume, Trump can say he brought peace; it was others who spoiled it.<\/p>\n<p>This formula does not work with Russia. Moscow has tried to explain to the US president the real origins of the Ukrainian crisis \u2013 and that Russia\u2019s conditions for peace are not\u00a0<em>\u201cmaximalist\u201d<\/em>\u00a0demands but the minimum basis for a lasting settlement. Trump, however, is uninterested in history or nuance. His focus is always the immediate result, the headline moment. After eight months of dialogue, progress remains intermittent at best.<\/p>\n<p>There are also external limits to Trump\u2019s freedom of action. For all his bluster, he is neither\u00a0<em>\u201cthe king of America\u201d<\/em>\u00a0nor\u00a0<em>\u201cthe emperor of the West.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0He cannot ignore Washington\u2019s entrenched anti-Russian consensus, shared by Democrats and many in his own Republican Party. Nor can he completely disregard US allies in Europe, however little he may respect them. Despite his self-image as a political maverick, Trump is still constrained by the machinery of the American establishment.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, the\u00a0<em>\u201cspecial diplomatic operation\u201d<\/em>\u00a0\u2013 Moscow\u2019s direct dialogue with the Trump administration \u2013 has served its purpose. It has demonstrated to Russia\u2019s partners that Moscow is genuinely committed to a fair and durable peace. It has shown Russia\u2019s soldiers and citizens that their leadership continues to pursue the declared objectives of the Ukraine military operation. And it has clarified for the Kremlin the limits of Trump\u2019s real power.<\/p>\n<p>The talks may have slowed, but communication continues along two channels \u2013 Lavrov-Rubio and Dmitriev-Witkoff. Yet diplomacy, as ever, is not a substitute for strength. Its purpose is to consolidate what has been achieved on the battlefield. A diplomatic operation can assist, but it cannot replace, a military one.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>This article was first published in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/8158919?from=author_1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Kommersant<\/a>, and was translated and edited by the RT team.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>____<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/627078-dmitry-trenin-trumps-diplomacy\/\">https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/627078-dmitry-trenin-trumps-diplomacy\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38752","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38752"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38752\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38752"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38752"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38752"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}