{"id":38737,"date":"2025-10-29T11:12:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T15:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=38737"},"modified":"2025-10-29T11:12:25","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T15:12:25","slug":"the-fundamental-question-is-whether-3i-atlas-is-a-trojan-horse-with-the-external-appearance-of-a-natural-comet-but-carrying-a-potential-threat-in-its-interior-former-chair-of-harvards-astro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=38737","title":{"rendered":"

“The fundamental question is whether 3I\/ATLAS is a Trojan Horse with the external appearance of a natural comet but carrying a potential threat in its interior.” — Former Chair of Harvard’s Astronomy Department<\/span><\/b><\/h3>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Avi Loeb<\/p>\n

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Mercury transiting the Sun in 2006, as imaged by the Hinode spacecraft. (Image credit:\u00a0JAXA\/NASA\/PPARC<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

On October 29, 2025, the interstellar object\u00a03I\/ATLAS<\/a>\u00a0will get to the closest distance of 203 million kilometers from the Sun, completing half of its journey through the Solar System. This would constitute half of the journey as long as nothing dramatic happens to it at that time.<\/p>\n

For a spacecraft, perihelion is the\u00a0optimal time<\/a>\u00a0for either acceleration or deceleration by an impulse from an engine, thanks to the gravitational assist from the Sun.\u00a0This is also true of a mothership releasing mini-probes that maneuver towards the planets.<\/mark>\u00a0Unfortunately, we cannot observe 3I\/ATLAS from Earth at this opportune time, which raises the question of whether its trajectory was fine-tuned by extraterrestrial intelligence?<\/p>\n

As I explained today to Bill Hemmer and Dana Perino in America\u2019s Newsroom on Fox News (accessible\u00a0here<\/a>), the fundamental question is whether 3I\/ATLAS is a\u00a0Trojan Horse<\/a>\u00a0with the external appearance of a natural comet but carrying a potential threat in its interior. The city of Troy would have been better served if its guardians had not been fooled by the external appearance of the Trojan Horse. For that reason, I co-authored with Omer Eldadi and Gershon Tenenbaum a White Paper (accessible\u00a0here<\/a>), which encouraged policy makers to take seriously the potential threat from a\u00a0black swan<\/a>\u00a0event involving an unusually massive object moving along the ecliptic plane like 3I\/ATLAS.<\/p>\n

Perihelion is just 2 days before Halloween. Is 3I\/ATLAS wearing a costume of a comet or is it a truly icy rock of natural origin?<\/mark><\/p>\n

On November 3, 2025, 3I\/ATLAS will come within a distance of 97 million kilometers from Venus. During the same week, it will be observable to the ESA mission,\u00a0Juice<\/a>, along its path to Jupiter. On December 19, 2025, 6 days before Christmas, 3I\/ATLAS will get to its closest distance of 267 million kilometers from Earth, assuming a purely gravitational trajectory. Will 3I\/ATLAS send mini-probes towards Earth as Christmas gifts to humanity? I had asked my research team in the Galileo Project to check if there is any unusual activity by anomalous objects in the Earth\u2019s atmosphere based on data collected by the three Galileo Observatories in the coming months. On March 16, 2026, 3I\/ATLAS will arrive at its closest distance of 54 million kilometers from Jupiter, where the Juno spacecraft could image it and use a radio antenna to check for any radio transmission as a technological signature.<\/p>\n

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Press enter or click to view image in full size<\/span><\/p>\n

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Processing of an image of 3I\/ATLAS, taken on October 14, 2025 by the\u00a0PUNCH constellation of satellites<\/a>. (Credit: Thomas Lehmann and Marshall Eubanks)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Thus, perihelion constitutes the acid test of 3I\/ATLAS. If it is a natural comet glued together by weak forces, its heating by 770 watts per square meter may break it up into fragments which evaporate more quickly as a result of their large surface area per unit mass. The resulting fireworks might generate a much brighter cometary plume of gas and dust around it. However, if 3I\/ATLAS was technologically manufactured \u2014 as suggested by its high abundance of nickel relative to iron, it might maneuver or release mini-probes. Other technological signatures include artificial lights or excess heat from an engine. We will know the nature of 3I\/ATLAS better in the coming months.<\/p>\n

Also today, my Joe Rogan Experience was publicly released\u00a0here<\/a>. This 2.25-hour episode covered 3I\/ATLAS, the search for alien technologies and the Galileo Project in search for Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena. I emphasized the need for cosmic modesty as we examine who else lives in our cosmic neighborhood and the potential threat from alien technology. On a blind date of interstellar proportions, we better observe our dating partners rather than be guided by the limited imagination of our fellow script writers in Hollywood.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s hoping that we will be wise enough to learn something new and not be trapped in traditional echo chambers.<\/p>\n

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