{"id":30740,"date":"2025-08-20T08:28:50","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T12:28:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=30740"},"modified":"2025-08-21T07:53:35","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T11:53:35","slug":"does-3i-atlas-generate-its-own-light","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=30740","title":{"rendered":"<h1><i>Does 3I\/ATLAS Generate Its Own Light?<\/i><\/h1>"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more-->Avi Loeb<\/p>\n<div class=\"mo mp fl mq bh mr\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<div class=\"mf mg mh\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"bh lm mz c\" role=\"presentation\" src=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:700\/1*VKAvjc9fzi540MRHsUyrqQ.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"517\" \/><\/picture><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h5 class=\"mi mj mk ml mm mn mf mg paragraph-image\">The\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hubble_Space_Telescope\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">Hubble Space Telescope<\/a>\u00a0of 3I\/ATLAS on 21 July 2025 shows a sun-facing glow ahead of the object and no tail as often observed in comets. (Image credit:\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:3I-ATLAS_Hubble_heic2509b.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">D. Jewitt et al\/NASA\/Wikimedia<\/a>)<\/h5>\n<p id=\"dd5a\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The best image we have so far of the new interstellar object,\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/3I\/ATLAS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">3I\/ATLAS<\/a>, was obtained by the\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/asset\/hubble\/comet-3i-atlas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">Hubble Space Telescope<\/em><\/a>\u00a0on July 21, 2025. The image shows a glow of light, likely from a coma, ahead of the motion of 3I\/ATLAS towards the Sun. There is no evidence for a bright cometary tail in the opposite direction. This glow was interpreted as evaporation of dust from the Sun-facing side of 3I\/ATLAS.<\/p>\n<p id=\"bf26\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Figure 3 of the analysis paper (accessible\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2508.02934\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">here<\/a>) shows a steep surface brightness profile of the glow with a projected power-law slope of -3, which implies a three-dimensional emissivity profile with a radial power-law slope of -4. Such a slope is steeper than observed in solar system comets. Together with my brilliant colleague, Eric Keto, we realized that the observed slope of -4 is consistent with an alternative model in which the dust outflow around 3I\/ATLAS is illuminated by a central source. This model naturally accounts for the steep brightness profile, since the outflow density slope of -2 is accompanied by the radial decline of the illuminating radiation flux with an additional declining slope of -2.<\/p>\n<div class=\"mo mp fl mq bh mr\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\">\n<p><span class=\"fu ms mt an mu mv mw mx my speechify-ignore\">Press enter or click to view image in full size<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"mf mg oe\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:640\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:720\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:750\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:786\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:828\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:1100\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:1400\/format:webp\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 1400w\" type=\"image\/webp\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:640\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 640w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:720\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 720w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:750\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 750w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:786\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 786w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:828\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 828w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:1100\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 1100w, https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:1400\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png 1400w\" sizes=\"(min-resolution: 4dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 4) and (max-width: 700px) 50vw, (min-resolution: 3dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 67vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 3) and (max-width: 700px) 65vw, (min-resolution: 2.5dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2.5) and (max-width: 700px) 80vw, (min-resolution: 2dppx) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 2) and (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" data-testid=\"og\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"bh lm mz c\" role=\"presentation\" src=\"https:\/\/miro.medium.com\/v2\/resize:fit:700\/1*ZKUpmmzDNsWlt_rH506wCg.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"917\" \/><\/picture><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h5 class=\"of og oh oi oj mn mf mg paragraph-image\">Surface brightness as a function of the angular distance from the nucleus of 3I\/ATLAS in the\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/asset\/hubble\/comet-3i-atlas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"ok\">Hubble Space Telescope<\/em><\/a>\u00a0image. The brightness was averaged over a 0.8 arcsecond-wide strip along the axis connecting 3I\/ATLAS to the Sun. (Credit: Figure 3 from\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2508.02934\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">D. Jewitt et al. 2025<\/a>)<\/h5>\n<p id=\"565e\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">If 3I\/ATLAS generates its own light, then it could be much smaller than expected from a model in which it reflects sunlight. The reflection model requires a diameter of up to 20 kilometers, which is untenable given that the limited reservoir of rocky material in interstellar space can only deliver such a giant rock once per 10,000 years or longer (see the calculation in my paper\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.3847\/2515-5172\/adee06\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">here<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p id=\"796b\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Last night, we held the annual soccer cup match between the faculty and the students at Harvard\u2019s\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/itc.cfa.harvard.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">Institute for Theory &amp; Computation<\/a>, for which I serve as director. Although I scored 2 goals for the faculty team, the students won 3 to 2.\u00a0<mark class=\"adi adj ap\">Disappointed by the outcome, I focused on 3I\/ATLAS as soon as I woke up the following morning.<\/mark><\/p>\n<p id=\"e184\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">First, I calculated that the luminosity of 3I\/ATLAS needs to be of order 10 gigawatt. Second, I realized that the steep brightness profile around 3I\/ATLAS implies that the nucleus dominates the observed light. This must hold irrespective of the origin of the light. In other words, the nucleus dominates over the emission from the glow around it.<\/p>\n<p id=\"1405\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The illumination by sunlight cannot explain the steep 1\/R\u2074 profile of scattered light, where R is the radial distance from the nucleus. This is because a steady dust outflow develops a 1\/R\u00b2 profile which scatters sunlight within the same emissivity profile. Sunlight would dominate the illumination in this model because a rocky nucleus would reflect only a small fraction of the solar intensity from a much smaller area than the 10,000-kilometer region resolved in the\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/asset\/hubble\/comet-3i-atlas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">Hubble Space Telescope<\/em><\/a> image. Another possibility for the steep brightness profile is that the scattering halo is made of icy particles that get evaporated as they move towards the Sun from the warm Sun-facing side of 3I\/ATLAS. This would explain why there is no tail of these scattering particles. The required evaporation time must be of order 10 minutes but it is unclear whether this would lead to the observed 1\/R\u2074 brightness profile.<\/p>\n<p id=\"10ad\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nk nl nm no np nq ns nt nu nw nx ny oa ob te oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The simplest interpretation is that the nucleus of 3I\/ATLAS produces most of the light. I calculated that the nucleus cannot be a thermal emitter with an effective surface temperature below 1000 degrees Kelvin or else its peak emission wavelength would have been longer than 3 micrometers with an exponential cutoff at shorter wavelengths, incompatible with the data. At higher effective temperatures, the required luminosity of 3I\/ATLAS can be obtained from a source diameter smaller than 100 meters. A compact bright emitter would make 3I\/ATLAS of comparable size to the previous interstellar objects\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/www.annualreviews.org\/docserver\/fulltext\/astro\/61\/1\/annurev-astro-071221-054221.pdf?expires=1755442848&amp;id=id&amp;accname=guest&amp;checksum=79E821BCA828ED1A1E27808EA7FC4299\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">1I\/`Oumuamua or 2I\/Borisov<\/a>, making more sense than the 20-kilometer size inferred in the model where it reflects sunlight.<\/p>\n<p id=\"d648\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\"><em class=\"od\">What could constitute the required light source?<\/em><\/p>\n<p id=\"aa00\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">I first calculated that a primordial black hole with a Hawking temperature of 1,000 degrees Kelvin would produce only\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vttoth.com\/CMS\/physics-notes\/311-hawking-radiation-calculator\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">20 nanowatts of power<\/a>, clearly insufficient to power 3I\/ATLAS. A natural nuclear source could be a rare fragment from the core of a nearby supernova that is rich in radioactive material. This possibility is highly unlikely, given the scarce reservoir of radioactive elements in interstellar space.<\/p>\n<p id=\"0f13\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Alternatively, 3I\/ATLAS could be a spacecraft powered by nuclear energy, and the dust emitted from its frontal surface might be from dirt that accumulated on its surface during its interstellar travel. This cannot be ruled out, but requires better evidence to be viable.<\/p>\n<p id=\"050d\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Insisting on 3I\/ATLAS being a natural object, one might consider the hypothetical case of an object heated by friction on an ambient medium. In this case, the momentum flux of the dust flowing out of the object must exceed the momentum flux of the ambient medium in the rest frame of the object, the so-called ambient ram pressure. Otherwise, the dust outflow would be suppressed by the ambient medium. What does this condition boil to?<\/p>\n<p id=\"f126\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">Given the mass loss rate (6\u201360 kilograms per second) and ejection speed of dust (20\u20132 kilometers per second) that were inferred from the\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/asset\/hubble\/comet-3i-atlas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">Hubble Space Telescope<\/em><\/a>\u00a0image, I calculated that this model is marginally ruled-out. In addition, the required ambient medium density is larger by many orders of magnitude than the mass density of the zodiacal gas and dust through which 3I\/ATLAS is traveling as it traverses the main asteroid belt.<\/p>\n<p id=\"7ca9\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">This leaves us with the interpretation of the brightness profile around 3I\/ATLAS as originating from a central light source. Its potential technological origin is supported by its fine-tuned trajectory (as visualized\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/theskylive.com\/3dsolarsystem?obj=c2025n1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">here<\/a>\u00a0and discussed\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/avi-loeb.medium.com\/no-theres-no-clear-evidence-for-water-around-3i-atlas-29a73a37c054\" rel=\"noopener\" data-discover=\"true\">here<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p id=\"b821\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\">The new interstellar object\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/3I\/ATLAS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">3I\/ATLAS<\/a>\u00a0is expected to pass within a distance of 28.96 (+\/-0.06) million kilometers from Mars on October 3, 2025. This would offer an excellent opportunity to observe 3I\/ATLAS with the\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/mission\/mars-reconnaissance-orbiter\/science-instruments\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">HiRISE camera<\/a>\u00a0near Mars, one of six instruments onboard the\u00a0<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/mission\/mars-reconnaissance-orbiter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\">Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter<\/a>. This morning, I encouraged the HiRISE team to use their camera during the first week of October 2025 in order to gather new data on 3I\/ATLAS. They responded favorably. It would be challenging to observe 3I\/ATLAS from Earth around the same time because of the proximity of 3I\/ATLAS in our sky to the direction of the Sun. The more data we collect on 3I\/ATLAS, the closer we will get to understanding its nature.<\/p>\n<p id=\"5bb6\" class=\"pw-post-body-paragraph nf ng gw nh b ni nj nk nl nm nn no np nq nr ns nt nu nv nw nx ny nz oa ob oc gp bk\" data-selectable-paragraph=\"\"><strong class=\"nh gx\">Avi Loeb<\/strong>\u00a0is the head of the Galileo Project, founding director of Harvard University\u2019s \u2014 Black Hole Initiative, director of the Institute for Theory and Computation at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, and the former chair of the astronomy department at Harvard University (2011\u20132020). He is a former member of the President\u2019s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology and a former chair of the Board on Physics and Astronomy of the National Academies. He is the bestselling author of \u201c<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harpercollins.com\/products\/extraterrestrial-avi-loeb?variant=39935330418722\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">Extraterrestrial:<\/em><\/a><em class=\"od\">\u00a0<\/em><a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harpercollins.com\/products\/extraterrestrial-avi-loeb?variant=39935330418722\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">The First Sign of Intelligent Life Beyond Earth<\/em><\/a>\u201d and a co-author of the textbook \u201c<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hup.harvard.edu\/catalog.php?isbn=9780674987579\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">Life in the Cosmos<\/em><\/a>\u201d, both published in 2021. The paperback edition of his new book, titled \u201c<a class=\"ag ne\" href=\"https:\/\/www.harpercollins.com\/products\/interstellar-avi-loeb-1?variant=40982888415266\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener ugc nofollow\"><em class=\"od\">Interstellar<\/em><\/a>\u201d, was published in August 2024.<\/p>\n<p>____<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/avi-loeb.medium.com\/does-3i-atlas-generate-its-own-light-e9775594afc5\">https:\/\/avi-loeb.medium.com\/does-3i-atlas-generate-its-own-light-e9775594afc5<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30740","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30740"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30740\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30740"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30740"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30740"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}