{"id":29457,"date":"2025-08-06T08:56:35","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T12:56:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=29457"},"modified":"2025-08-06T08:58:16","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T12:58:16","slug":"us-on-precipice-of-recession-warns-leading-economist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=29457","title":{"rendered":"<h1>US on &#8216;Precipice of Recession,&#8217; Warns Leading Economist<\/h1>"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--more--><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-29458\" src=\"http:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-06-at-8.54.32-AM.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"672\" height=\"336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-06-at-8.54.32-AM.png 672w, https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-06-at-8.54.32-AM-300x150.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 672px) 100vw, 672px\" \/><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>By Hugh Cameron | NEWSWEEK<br \/>\nU.S. News Reporter<\/p>\n<p>A leading economist believes that recent reports on the health of the U.S. economy point to an impending downturn.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The economy is on the precipice of recession. That&#8217;s the clear takeaway from last week&#8217;s economic data dump,&#8221; Moody&#8217;s Chief Economist Mark Zandi posted to X on Sunday. &#8220;Consumer spending has flatlined, construction and manufacturing are contracting, and employment is set to fall.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Why It Matters<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Zandi has sounded several similar alarms about the state of the U.S. economy in recent months, and the\u00a0<a class=\"multivariate\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/trump-recession-odds-doubled-moodys-chief-economist-2052951\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">risks of a recession<\/a>, which he has attributed largely to the trade policies of the administration and viewed as exacerbating more long-term vulnerabilities.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>What To Know<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Last week saw a tranche of key economic data published by various government agencies.<\/p>\n<p>America&#8217;s trade deficit narrowed in June, consumer sentiment measures for July improved modestly following months of declines, and gross domestic product (GDP) growth rebounded sharply in the second quarter from a\u00a0<a class=\"multivariate\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/trump-economic-fantasy-trouble-gdp-data-2066275\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">troubling contraction in the first<\/a>, according to an advance estimate from the Department of Commerce.<\/p>\n<p>However, as Zandi noted, other indicators were less encouraging. Manufacturing activity slowed in July, job openings in June fell by a greater-than-expected 275,000 and consumer spending, though growing, still lags behind the robust growth seen in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Much of this data was eclipsed by Friday&#8217;s employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This revealed that the U.S. economy added 73,000 jobs in July, well below forecasts. In addition, revisions to May and June&#8217;s figures showed that employment during these months was 258,000 lower than previously reported.<\/p>\n<p>____<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/us-economy-recession-precipice-economist-warning-2109011\">https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/us-economy-recession-precipice-economist-warning-2109011<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29457","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29457"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29457\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}