{"id":23862,"date":"2025-06-20T18:44:19","date_gmt":"2025-06-20T22:44:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=23862"},"modified":"2025-06-20T18:44:19","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T22:44:19","slug":"armenias-prime-minister-is-trapped","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.info\/?p=23862","title":{"rendered":"

Armenia\u2019s Prime Minister is Trapped<\/h1>"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Submitted by David Davidian<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n

On June 4, 2025, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan stated<\/span><\/a>, in response to a wide-ranging student question during a talk given at Yerevan State University, “We have lost part of our homeland, but we have gained a state.” We must assume that before having “lost part of our homeland,” Armenia wasn’t a state.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Armenia was more of a sovereign entity before Pashinyan was ushered into power in 2018, and today, Armenia is caught in a diplomatic trap. Why is this?<\/span><\/p>\n

Critical analysts generate hypotheses in pursuing explanations for political events based on unbiased evaluation of available evidence. Looking back at events that may not initially appear significant sometimes creates the basis for hypotheses when viewed across a longer timeline. Hypotheses are required because most observers and analysts cannot access privileged information. A contemporary example of this might be whether US President Trump is kept in the dark about clandestine events he should know about or does not care about significant events. Few know the real explanation; the rest suggest hypotheses.<\/span><\/p>\n

The leading hypothesis to be examined here is:<\/span><\/p>\n

Pashinyan’s ascent to power was a light-color revolution encouraged by the West to reduce Russia’s footprint in the Southern Caucasus. The suggested quid pro quo was the West would support a Pashinyan ascendancy to power, replacing pro-Russia incumbents, but the piper must be paid. Once Russian influence was reduced, any promises or assurances given Armenia never materialized, leaving diplomatically-challenged Armenia to fend for itself. Armenians were told by Western states and their own ‘analysts’ that Armenia would have to make concessions on Nagorno-Karabakh to achieve peace with its neighbors. No Armenian government could unilaterally concede Nagorno-Karabakh and survive. However, with targeted framing that persists to this day, Armenians fought, were defeated, and emerged in a significantly weakened and demoralized state, with more than four thousand young soldiers dead. Armenia participated in an engineered defeat of Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020, followed by the 2023 Azerbaijani ethnic cleansing of the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh, negating the mandate of a Russian peace-keeping contingent in the region. Armenian Nagorno-Karabakh ceased to exist as an entity. While peace remains elusive, the Armenian regime is doing its best not to appear patriotic, attacking national symbols, including the Armenian church, and kowtowing to the dictates of Baku in their never-ending cascade of concessions, all intended to reduce Armenian sovereignty.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Direct proof doesn\u2019t exist to prove or contradict this hypothesis. However, the US Deep State is demonstrably in pursuit of the dismemberment of Russia via proxies. Pashinyan was convicted of political libel in 1999. He was fined and given a one-year suspended sentence. In 2008, he was sentenced to seven years in prison for his role in the 2008 post-election violence. He was released in May 2011 as part of a general amnesty. Both of these events took place under the leadership of pro-Russian governments. Pashinyan was a classic candidate for fulfilling a Western anti-Russian agenda in Armenia.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

The West’s Deep State Ukrainian proxy war against Russia has not resulted in a Russian disintegration but rather quite the opposite. Subsequently, Armenia painted itself into a corner; it neither has peace nor is the absence of war the equivalent of peace. Turkey and Azerbaijan, especially the latter, after the successful conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh, are attempting to reduce Armenian sovereignty incrementally. Currently, the Azerbaijani military units occupy about two hundred fifteen sq km of Armenia’s internationally recognized territory, and over thirty Armenian villages are now abandoned. Rather than for Armenia to plan for the worst, it hoped for the best, and hope doesn’t spring eternal in geopolitics. The West using Minsk I and II agreements to further arm Ukraine as a proxy fighting Russia should have been a hint. However, for this and other events to be recognized for what they represent, such as Georgia’s Saakashvili hoping for NATO intervention in the 2008 Georgian-Russian war, these lessons should have encouraged Armenia to develop strategic goals rather than being reduced to transactional processes that serve the interests of others while keeping the Pashinyan regime in power.<\/span><\/p>\n

Much of the US Deep State\u2019s activities serve the disintegration of Russia. Thus, anything that supports that policy would be under active consideration. This includes opening more than just a Ukrainian front against Russian interests. One need only read the Rand Corporation\u2019s recommendations in Extending Russia<\/span><\/a> and note on page 117 how \u201cthe United States could try to induce Armenia to break with Russia\u201d and on 118, \u201cWhile the principal aim of these policies would be to extend Russia, closer relationships with Georgia, Azerbaijan, or Armenia might yield important secondary benefits for the United States.\u201d The following is a sampling of the evidence that supports the stated hypothesis.<\/span><\/p>\n